An even more popular reform is Governor Stitt’s proposal of saving money for the state’s rainy-day fund.  When voters are told of the 574 million dollar increase in certification of funds, 73% agree with Stitt’s proposal to saving at least 200 million into the state’s savings account.  “Everyone should pay attention to the question wording here,” McFerron said.  “In this question we made the argument that the state should spend the money to make-up for past underfunding.  Even with this note, a strong supermajority of voters still favor saving over spending.”
  
“Fully 84% of Republicans and 87% of those Republicans who regularly vote in primary elections favor the savings plan,” McFerron continued. “And this is a message that unites both urban and rural Oklahomans with more than 70% of each group supporting saving at least $200 million.”

“We are excited about the results of this poll,” said Harlow.  “As advocates for Oklahoma consumers, we want a state government which is responsive to them.  This polling shows that support for these two priorities of the Stitt administration is one way to give Oklahomans what they desire.”

The survey of Oklahoma registered voters was conducted by live agents on both land and mobile lines.  It was controlled for gender, age of respondent, partisan affiliation, and region of the state so that it accurately reflects the Oklahoma electorate.  Conducted March 12-15, 2019, the survey of 400 registered voters has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.   Full question wording is below.
 
1. As you may know, Governor Stitt and legislative leaders recently announced they had reached a compromise agreement which will give the Oklahoma governor’s office more control over the key agency boards.  These nine-member boards will now be comprised of five gubernatorial appointments and four from legislative leaders who will serve at the will of whoever appoints them.  This will allow any governor in Oklahoma to have more control and responsibility for actions of these agencies instead of the way it is now where the appointments can last for years and overlap from one governor to the next, meaning a new governor may not gain control of an agency for six years or more.  From what you know, do you approve or disapprove of this new approach?

58%​ Approve
28%​ Disapprove
14% Undecided
 
2. As you may know, the state equalization board has certified that the state legislature will have $574 million more to spend this year than last year.  Governor Stitt has proposed saving at least $200 million of these dollars into the state’s rainy-day fund savings account, while others say the state should spend all of this money to make-up for past underfunding.  Do you favor or oppose Governor’ Stitt’s proposal to save at least $200 million?

73%​ Favor
20%​ Oppose
 7% ​ Undecided

SoonerPoll: Republican Runoff Poll for News9/News on 6 by TheOkie.com on Scribd

SoonerPoll: (All Parties )Runoff Poll for News9/News on 6 by TheOkie.com on Scribd

According to the most recent Quarterly Poll from SoonerPoll, a plurality of Oklahoma likely voters believe reducing or eliminating corporate tax credits and subsidies for wind energy companies is the best place to start in funding teacher pay raises.

“Legislators say they got the message from last year’s election about raising teacher pay,” said Bill Shapard, founder of SoonerPoll.  “These poll results tell them where voters believe the funding should come from.”

Nearly one in three voters believed funding for increased teacher salaries should come from reducing the non-teaching workforce costs in Oklahoma’s higher education system.

Only 14 percent of likely voters believed teacher pay raises should come from increased taxes.

“These poll results show Oklahomans want legislators to look other places before trying to raise revenues from increased taxes,” said Shapard.

[QUESTION] Many Oklahoma lawmakers have expressed a desire to enact a teacher pay raise during the 2017 legislative session. However, the legislature will likely be facing a significant state budget gap. To help fund teacher pay raises, which of the following options would you prefer?

1. Reduce or eliminate corporate tax credits and subsidies for wind energy companies: 42.1
2. Reduce non-teaching workforce costs in Oklahoma’s higher education system: 29.7
3. Increase taxes: 14.0
4. Do not raise teacher salaries at this time: 14.3

A plurality of Republicans, Democrats and Independents all favored cutting tax credits and subsidies to wind energy as their first choice for funding teacher pay increases, including conservatives, moderates and liberals as well.

Republicans were more likely than Democrats in wanting to make raising taxes to fund teacher pay increases a last resort.

About the Poll

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll, which was commissioned by the Oklahoma Council of Public Affairs (OCPA).

The scientific study was conducted from December 19-21, 2016 with 440 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a ‘layered technique.’

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.60 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll’s Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here.  A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

ELECTION DAY Final projection for presidential race in Oklahoma:
Trump 63.6%
Clinton 31.6
Johnson 4.8https://t.co/40kRzZxeeR

— SoonerPoll (@SoonerPoll) November 3, 2016

Since SoonerPoll has been polling state questions since July, none has had such a dramatic shift than SQ 777.

In July, support for the state question was only polling at 53.2 percent.  At the time, some reports on the internal polling of the campaigns put the support level much higher.  In early October, the next SoonerPoll had the level of support at just 49.3 percent.

To date, SoonerPoll has been the only independent, non-partisan pollster who has publicly released polling data on SQ 777.

Read the complete story on NewsOK.com

Low down: Oklahomans are more dissatisfied with their own Legislature than they are President Barack Obama, and are only slightly happier with Gov. Mary Fallin, according to a poll released late Friday.

Oklahoma Congressman Markwayne Mullin should have been set for an easy reelection campaign, but an exclusive poll conducted by InsideSources shows the race is unexpectedly tight leading into Tuesday’s primary.  Moreover, the more voters know about each candidate, the worse it is for Rep. Mullin.

“We found that the more likely voters found out about Rep. Mullin and Mr. Jackson, the more they tended to support the challenger, Mr. Jackson,” InsideSources publisher Shawn McCoy said.  “Now it’s just a matter of whether Mr. Jackson has the time and resources to inform the voters.”

Mullin, a two-term Republican incumbent, is facing a primary challenge from Jarrin Jackson, a combat veteran who recently won the endorsement of Tom Coburn, the popular former senator. Mullin has also recently drawn strong criticism from conservative groups aligned against legislation he’s proposed to bring federal regulation to Mixed Martial Arts competition. In a conservative House district, these challenges from his right have left Mullin on shaky ground.

Our exclusive poll found Mullin leading Jackson 51.7 percent to 40.2 percent, with 8 percent undecided in initial polling.

However, InsideSources asked a series of follow-up questions about candidate biographies and the attacks being lodged by conservatives opposing Mullin. Mullin has been mute in criticizing his lesser-known opponent, so attacks on Jackson were not included. In this test, known as an “educated ballot,” which is intended to simulate how voters may react to what they hear in the media and from other voters leading up to the primary, Jackson was catapulted to a lead of 45.8 percent to 39.6 percent, with 14.6 percent unsure of how they will vote.

The educated ballot test does not mean Jackson has the momentum to win. As is often the case with primary challengers running against incumbents, Jackson may not have the resources to reach voters with his message. Jackson has raised and spent a small fraction of Mullin’s war chest. According to the most recent filings to the Federal Election Commission, Mullin spent over $300,000 in the two-month period ahead of the primary. Jackson has spent less than $50,000.

While Senators Jim Inhofe and James Lankford have both endorsed Mullin for reelection, the surprise endorsement from Coburn seems to be in response to Mullin walking back a pledge he made in 2012 to run for no more than three terms in the House.

InsideSources told survey respondents about the endorsements, and read language to voters similar to what is found on each campaign’s website about candidate biographies and issue positions. Hearing positive biographical notes on Mullin made 64.7 percent of likely primary voters say they would be more apt to support him, while 58.4 percent found themselves more likely to support Jackson based on the lesser-known opponent’s military service and policy goals.

Voters were told of major conservative criticisms of Mullin, including his support for the Export-Import Bank, which critics argue supports corporate welfare for large companies. Respondents were also told Mullin is facing an ethics investigation for earning too much income outside Congress, and his business received hundreds of thousands of dollars in Obama Stimulus funding. Nearly 50 percent of likely voters said hearing this made them less likely to support Mullin. Conservative groups, including Heritage Action, have in the past made calls to voters in the district critical of Mullin on some of these points.

The InsideSources poll of 521 registered Republican voters in Oklahoma’s 2nd Congressional District was conducted June 20-22, and has a margin of error of +/-10% after applying a likely voter screen and demographic weighting.  Data was gathered via interactive voice response (IVR) calls. Out of 1,622 partial responses, 521 complete responses were gathered. Poll analysis was conducted by Praecones Analytica. InsideSources will be tracking races nationwide ahead of November’s elections.

READ THE FULL POLLING REPORT BELOW.

OK-02 Likely Voter Polling Report

Saying that the city of Tulsa is performing well might be an understatement.

According to the most recent survey of citizens of Tulsa, the city government improved its level of satisfaction among Tulsans since it was last surveyed in 2013 in nearly every major category, including quality of life, police and fire services, refuse and recycling services, parks and street maintenance, and economic development.

“A lot of credit belongs to the city’s mayor, city manager, city council, and the hundreds of city workers for those remarkable improvements in just three years,” said Bill Shapard, founder of SoonerPoll and the lead researcher on the study.

More than 70 percent of Tulsans said that they are satisfied with the overall quality of city services provided with 28.1 percent were “very satisfied,” making it a 15 points increase from when the same research was conducted in 2013.

Read the complete story from SoonerPoll.com

Chris Wilson vividly remembers his excitement when his parents took him, at age 8, to a big rally at the Lawton airport for Gerald Ford during the 1976 general election.

It’s what recently spurred him to push hard for presidential candidate Ted Cruz, on the day before the presidential primary here, to add Lawton to his Oklahoma visit, which was the edge, Wilson believes, for Cruz to win the state.

Wilson’s firm, Oklahoma City-based WPA Opinion Research, is handling polling, analysis and digital strategy for the Cruz campaign. The meticulous technologically advanced, highly individualized ground game “drives every issue in the campaign, including scheduling,” he said.

Founded in 2004, WPA employs 25, including 10 in Oklahoma City, 11 in Washington, D.C., and others in Austin, Texas, and Denver. Aside from quick visits home to see his family, Wilson is spending most of his time at the Cruz headquarters in Houston and on the campaign trail.

Read the complete story on NewsOK.com

Still dressed in black from a memorial for their CEO Dave Goldberg, SurveyMonkey executives were confronted with a confounding piece of news. The results of their first big public push into political polling were in — a long-awaited moment of their beloved CEO — and they differed wildly from their competitors’.

The credibility of the company, which Goldberg, a high-profile Silicon Valley personality and husband of Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg, had headed since 2009, was on the line. So was a bigger question: Could Silicon Valley crack the code to calling elections, an undertaking long dominated by major media and data outlets, and one that has become less and less reliable in recent years.

“We were dressed in black from the memorial, and we said `do we do this?’ We do run a risk if we’re wrong, and what if we are,” Bennett Porter, head of marketing, recalled. “But we knew that we weren’t, and we knew that Dave would’ve wanted us to do it.”

SurveyMonkey’s executives decided to go out on a limb. They gave their predictions to the Washington Post, which published them the day of the election, showing the UK Conservatives trouncing their Labour rivals. Other polls showed the race neck-and-neck. The bet paid off: Conservative Party Leader David Cameron was re-confirmed at the country’s prime minister with a sizable majority.

Read the complete story on bloomberg.com